Fed Cattle Forecasting

The AgPretium Fed Cattle Forecasting Newsletter provides weekly price forecasts for fed cattle, powered by a rigorously tested forecasting model. Each edition provides data-driven projections against both current cash prices and the full LRP curve, from 13 to 52 weeks forward.

The AgPretium forecasting model has undergone what is widely considered the most rigorous form of historical testing: a walk-forward backtest. Results show the model has produced a 1.5% to 2.3% average improvement over a neutral hedge program. At current market levels, that equates to roughly $50–$75 per head. Get the full backtest report here.

How to Use It

  1. Open the newsletter each week to review updated fed cattle price forecasts.
  2. Review the probability chart versus current prices.
  3. Check the LRP table for the likelihood of prices exceeding each coverage level.
  4. Combine this information with your own market research.
  5. Consult with a licensed professional to plan and execute your strategy.

What to Expect

Click the Subscribe button below to access the weekly Fed Cattle Forecasting Newsletter for only $49/mo. You’ll be taken to a secure checkout page, and after completing your subscription you’ll see a confirmation page and receive a receipt by email. Newsletters are delivered weekly on the first business day after prior-week prices and model inputs have posted.

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